Nintendo has released what industry analysts describe as a "conservative" sales forecast for the eagerly anticipated Switch 2, amidst uncertainties surrounding U.S. tariffs. In its latest financial report, the gaming giant projected sales of 15 million units for the Switch 2, alongside 45 million game sales, for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2026. The Switch 2 is slated to hit the market on June 5.
Nintendo's forecast is based on the assumption that the current U.S. tariff rates, which took effect on April 10, will remain unchanged throughout the fiscal year. However, the company acknowledged that fluctuations in these tariffs could impact their projections. "We will continue to monitor the situation to respond to changes in market conditions," a statement from Nintendo reads.
Daniel Ahmad, Director of Research & Insights at Niko Partners, labeled the 15 million sales target as "conservative." In a tweet, he suggested that Nintendo's cautious approach likely accounts for uncertainties related to tariffs, pricing, and production, despite strong pre-order momentum. Ahmad also noted that Nintendo might revise its forecast upward should the tariff situation improve. "However, the main issue right now is the knock-on effects that are already in motion, creating a challenging environment for a console launch. Not to mention the threat of increased tariffs," he added.
It's noteworthy that achieving 15 million sales in its debut year would rank the Switch 2 among the most successful console launches ever, surpassing the original Switch's first-year sales of 14.87 million units.
AnswerSee ResultsDemand for the Switch 2 appears to be incredibly high. Following a delay attributed to tariffs, pre-orders for the console commenced on April 24, with the price set at $449.99. The response was as overwhelming as anticipated. Meanwhile, Nintendo has cautioned U.S. customers who pre-ordered through the My Nintendo Store that delivery on the release date is not guaranteed due to the intense demand.
For more detailed information, check out IGN's Nintendo Switch 2 pre-order guide.
