Switch 2 Sales Projections: 4.3 Million Units in the US for 2025
Gaming analyst Mat Piscatella forecasts US sales of approximately 4.3 million Nintendo Switch 2 units in 2025, contingent on a first-half launch. This projection mirrors the original Switch's impressive 4.8 million unit sales by the end of 2017, a figure that exceeded initial expectations, leading to air-freighted shipments to meet demand. The hope is that Nintendo has learned from past supply chain challenges and will avoid similar shortages with the Switch 2.
While anticipation for the Switch 2 is high, reflected in its frequent trending on social media, translating this buzz into substantial sales remains uncertain. Success hinges on several key factors: launch timing, hardware quality, and the competitiveness of its initial game lineup.
Piscatella's prediction, shared on Bluesky, anticipates the Switch 2 capturing roughly one-third of the US console market in 2025 (excluding handheld PCs). He acknowledges potential supply constraints due to high anticipated demand, but the extent of Nintendo's manufacturing preparations remains unclear. The possibility exists that Nintendo has proactively addressed potential shortages, drawing lessons from the original Switch and PS5 launches.
Despite a positive outlook for Switch 2 sales, Piscatella projects the PlayStation 5 to maintain its leading position in the US console market. While the Switch 2's considerable hype is a sales boon, the PS5's anticipated 2025 lineup, potentially including the highly anticipated Grand Theft Auto 6, poses stiff competition. Ultimately, the Switch 2's success will depend heavily on its hardware capabilities and the strength of its launch titles.
